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Monday, August 10, 2015

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Well that sucked. The Astros marched into the last place, 48-61 A's and marched out with a sore groin and a bloody nose, losing three of four after Luke Gregerson gave up two more 9th inning runs and letting the A's celebrate like they won the damn World Series or something. The Astros' division lead is now down to 0.5 games. FanGraphs still likes them more than I do at the moment, giving the Astros a 54.3% chance of winning the division and an 80.4% chance of making the postseason.

*The Astros started the season with a 15-8 road record. Since this arbitrary endpoint, however, the Astros are 8-26 on the road. They're 15-19 in 1-run games, and have lost ten of their last eleven 1-run road games.

Luke Gregerson:
I don't think anyone's pressing or anything, I think a lot of guys are just kind of a little upset with themselves...and I feel, like, just a little, just a little personal anger. Not even necessarily at teammates, just more so personally amongst guys. We know we (are?) better than this, and we know we can do better than this, and I think that they know they need to step up and we need to win some ball games.

*Jed Lowrie, who has been to the playoffs four times - twice with Boston and twice with Oakland:
I'll tell you one thing. Every playoff team I've ever been on has gone through at least one stretch like this during the year. And the good ones find a way to pull through it.

*Oakland's Danny Valencia, in three games versus the Astros this series: 6x13, 2HR, 5RBI, 3K:2BB.

*Oliver Perez knew he was leaving Arizona:
They just called me, and right away I thought I was going to get traded or released. Sometimes you feel bad, because you have a lot of relationships with your friends. But at the same time, I'm going to have a new experience. We're in first place right now, and I feel happy to be here.

*The Astros haven't talked too much about September call-ups.

*San Jose Mercury-News: When you see A.J. Hinch, think Steve Kerr.

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Been a while since we've had a chance to do this, but we'll take a cue from the archives when, after a particularly brutal loss it was cathartic to look at the minors...

Fresno (67-48, 11.5 up)

Fresno came into the 9th and final game of a long homestand with an 8-0 record, but allowed the first nine runs of the game in a 9-3 loss to Sacramento. Brady Rodgers allowed 8H/7R (5ER), 4K:2BB in 5.1IP.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. Tyler White: 1x2, 2B, 2BB, RBI
2. James Hoyt: 1IP, 0H/0ER*
1. Nolan Fontana: 2x4, 2B, BB

*Since May 1, Hoyt has thrown 28.2IP, allowing 29H/9ER, 38K:7BB

Corpus (72-42, already clinched playoff berth)

Corpus had a 1-0 lead heading into the 7th, and left the 7th tied 2-2. Then Midland enjoyed a pair of three-run innings for an 8-3 win over Corpus.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. A.J. Reed: 3x5
2. Jon Kemmer: 3x4, 2B, HR, RBI
1. Michael Feliz: 6IP, 3H/0ER, 8K:3BB

Lancaster (57-56, 3.5 GB)

J.D. Davis homered in his 6th straight game as Lancaster whooped up on High Desert, 8-0. Keegan Yuhl and Michael Freeman combined for 9IP, 3H/0ER, 9K:1BB.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. J.D. Davis: 2x4, HR, 4RBI
2. Michael Freeman: 3IP, 0H/0ER, 4K:0BB
1. Keegan Yuhl: 6IP, 3H/0ER, 5K:1BB

Quad Cities (74-37, already clinched playoff berth)

Quad Cities came into Sunday's game with their 2nd 12-game winning streak of the season, only to fall short of tying a club record in a 3-1 loss to Dayton.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. Drew Ferguson: 1x4, outfield assist
2. Bobby Boyd: 1x3, BB, SB
1. Brock Dykxhoorn: 7IP, 6H/2ER, 8K:1BB

Tri-City (28-21, 3.0 up)

Tri-City erased a 2-0 deficit with a 3-run 4th, going on to beat Lowell 6-3.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. Alex Winkelman: 5IP, 5H/2ER, 3K:1BB
2. Brooks Marlow: 2x5, 2 2B, RBI
1. Dexture McCall: 1x3, BB, HR, 2RBI

Greeneville (24-20, 1.5 up)

Greeneville dominated Bristol on Sunday in an 8-1 win in which Bristol didn't get their 1st run until the 9th inning. Makay Nelson, Matt Bower, Andrew Thome, and Samil De Los Santos combined for 9IP, 8H/1ER, 8K:0BB.

Three 'Stros of the Game:
3. Brauly Mejia: 2x4, wB, 2RBI
2. Kyle Tucker: 3x4, 2B, RBI, SB, outfield assist
1. Pitching staff

GCL Astros (14-25, 8.5 GB)

Game report was somehow unavailable.
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Saturday, August 8, 2015

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Dallas Keuchel (13-5, 2.35) versus Sonny Gray (11-4, 2.12)

Those of you that are cricket fans - or at least knowledgable in the game - may be aware of some of the common cricket superstitions.  One, in particular, revolves around the Nelson, or a team score of 111, which resembles three stumps (or wickets) without their bails on (meaning the batsman would be out).  Anywho, the important thing is that 111 is unlucky in cricket.  The counter-superstition is that every member of the batting team - usually sitting in the pavilion (like the dugout, but more comfortable) has to have only one foot on the ground as long as the score remains on 111.  Umpires will sometimes do this as well.

So it comes as no surprise to me that the Astros were the victims of some poor luck today, given they were sitting on the Nelson.  Keuchel and Gray was a marquee pitching matchup - btw, Sonny Gray has some serious throwing abilities - and the Astros were victims of some poor luck.  The A's - who played their 111th game last night - were the beneficiaries of that luck.  Both starters allowed one no-luck run to score on a solo home run, but the other two runs in the game (debited against Kuechel) had some portion of them attributable directly to luck.

Take nothing away from the A's however.  Sonny Gray is awesome, and I thought that the A's attacked Keuchel with a solid game plan of swinging early in the count at fastballs.  But the Astros were repeatedly unable to come up with big defensive and offensive plays, and as a result, they lost by a score of 3-1.

On the Mound
Dallas Keuchel found himself consistently in trouble in the first two innings of the game.  Much of the trouble was attributable to the BABIP malaise that has been so infectious in the pitching staff lately.  Balls were hit to spots that were tough to make plays on, or ricochet's were unkind, and as a result, baserunners were frequent in the first five frames.

The game started badly.  Billy Burns reached leading off the first on an infield single that bounced off the legs of Dallas Keuchel.  Altuve tried to make a barehanded play, but couldn't.  Keuchel got the next two outs on a line-out and a fielder's choice back to the mound, but Danny Valencia started his night of domination of Keuchel by working a five-pitch walk.  Country Breakfast (aka Billy Butler) grounded to third for the last out - a hot shot that Lowrie made a solid play on.

In the second, the BABIP nightmare intensified.  Josh Phegley led off by steering a fastball away against the shift, into RF, and just wide of the first baseman.  A nice piece of hitting.  Then Marcus Semien grounded one up the middle that narrowly eluded the dive of Jose Altuve two pitches later - a double-play ball if it was a few feet either side.  Mark Canha followed by recording the third straight single of the inning - this one was off the glove of a leaping Keuchel - again, a double-play ball if he corrals it - but Canha reached to load the bases with no outs.  Lefty Sam Fuld struck out swinging on a 2-1 slider down-and-away before Billy Burns hit a fly ball the other way that Rasmus caught with his momentum going away from the infield (mostly because he was positioned quite shallow), and no play at the plate was possible.  With one out, Coco Crisp walked after a dubious 2-2 check swing call from the first base ump, then Brett Lawrie grounded back to the mound to end the frame, leaving the bases loaded for the second time in the inning.

There was no luck about the run that scored in the third.  Danny Valencia was leading off, and he ran the count to 2-2.  On the third pitch of the at-bat, Keuchel had thrown a inside fastball that ran away from the righty back over the edge of the plate.  He went back to the well again on the fifth pitch of the at-bat, and Valencia hammered it to the power alley in LF-CF for a long home run.  The ball cleared the the wall mid-way between the 362 singe in left, and the 388 sign in CF.

The only other remarkable play in the inning was a two out throwing error by Jose Altuve.  With one out, catcher Josh Phegley grounded a hard shot up the middle, and the ball glanced off Keuchel's legs, bouncing toward the right side a little.  Altuve adjusted, fielded cleanly, but his throw was a little wide, and it pulled Valbuena off the bag.  Marcus Semien GIDP three pitches later to end the inning.

Billy Burns singled to RF in the fourth with two outs (just inside the 1B bag), but the other three hitters in the inning grounded out, so he didn't score.  In the fifth, Brett Lawrie led off by being hit by a pitch - the pitch was up and in, and Lawrie was diving over the plate.  The ball must of flicked his arm or hand or something, but he took first.  The next batter was Danny Valencia, and he singled to RF, through a yawning gap on the right side (as Valbuena was holding Lawrie on).  Then Billy Butler GIDP, sending Lawrie to third base.  With a 1-0 count, Josh Phegley then sliced a ball down the RF line, and woodencha-know-it, the ball landed just fair, and kicked on into the stands for a ground-rule double.  Phegley thought he had sliced it foul judging by his reaction in the batters box, but the ball was fair by inches - not quite kicking up chalk and landing literally just inside the RF line.  Nice hitting if you are an A's supporter - on another day that one is caught, or heads foul for a long strike.  Except at Fenway, where is it a home run.  RF Colby Rasmus extracted his revenge when he gunned Phegley down at home plate when he tried to score on Semien's single - it was a terrible send, a great throw, and it arrived in plenty of time.

Keuchel settled down, recording a relatively quick sixth inning, a very quick seventh, and a speedy first two outs of the eighth inning.  Keuchel was eventually pulled from the game with two outs in the eighth, after Marcus Semien singled to left.  Asher Wojciechowski recorded the easiest major-league out of his career when Mark Canha flew out on the first pitch to shallow left.

Keuchel bounced back very well after the the baserunner-a-rama in the first two innings - he was sitting just under 50 pitches when Coco Crisp walked with two outs in the second, after a blown call on a check swing from the umps the pitch before.  He gave up two more runs, but pitched the next six innings in around 60 pitches.  That gave the 'pen a bit of a break, which they definitely needed after a brutal Texas series, and an extra-inning affair last night.

At the Plate
This won't take long - or perhaps it should take longer than one would expect for a one-run offensive effort.  As I mentioned above, Gray has a fabulous arm, and he deserves credit for how he pitched in this game.  But the Astros hitters hit quite a few balls on the nose, but right at fielders.  Gray certainly had enough to keep them just missing fly-balls, but particularly later in the game, the fielders were in perfect spots to make plays on hot shots.  Perhaps another day, the Astros score enough to draw level or take a lead.

Anyhow, Gray was dominant early.  He set the side down in order in the first, with Correa hitting a fly ball to medium right as the hardest hit ball in that frame.  In the second, Gray struck out the first two Astros in another perfect frame.  Rasmus' K involved the ball getting away from the catcher Phegley, but the rebound off the advertising hoarding behind home play was very kind to the home team, and Rasmus was unable to take first.  In the third, Luis Valbuena continued his recent hot streak by singling with one out, and Jose Altuve singled with two outs to put runners on first and second.  Carlos Gómez popped up on the first pitch, and the left fielder made a comfortable play.

The Astros went down in order in the fourth.  The first two hitters in the fifth also went quietly, aside from Preston Tucker, who hit a hard line-drive up the middle.  The ball bounced off the meat of Gray's right calf muscle, and rebounded three or so yards toward third base.  Gray was not hurt, and he showed off his agility by springing off the mound, getting to the ball, and gunning Tucker down by a half-step at first.  Remember all those plays in the first two innings that the Astros couldn't make??  Gray had some luck here, but he also made a great play.

That was important, because Luis Valbeuna - the next batter - homered to deep RF.  Gray - on a 3-2 count - tried to bust Valbeuna inside with a fastball.  He didn't miss his spot, and the pitch was slightly elevated, and on the inside edge of the zone.  Valbuena didn't miss it either, and the ball carried out over the 362 sign in right field.  In Oakland, the bleachers are 30 feet or so off the ground at that point, and Valbuena's shot went 5 rows back into the elevated bleachers.  Plus, it wasn't a towering fly ball - it was more of a line shot.  No doubt there, mammoth home run, and impressive hitting from the corner infielder.  That was his 21st of the year - the most of his career by five.

That was it for scoring for the Astros.  With two outs in the sixth, Carlos Correa singled into the 5.5 hole.  Semien dove, and was unable to come up with a strong enough throw to nab Correa.  The Astros went in order in the seventh.  In the eight, Jason Castro went up the middle on a hard grounder (slightly the other way) with one out, but on the next pitch, Jose Altuve hit a tailor made double-play ball to third, and the frame was over.  In the ninth, a Carlos Gómez foul out, a Carlos Correa K (on a correctly called check-swing) and the Lowrie grounder wrapped up the ballgame for the A's.

The tale of the box score is less about who got the hits, and more about who hit the ball hard.  Luis Valbeuna went 2-3 with a home run.  Jason Castro went 1-3, and Altuve and Correa both went 1-4.  No Astro walked, which is impressive on Gray's part.  Colby Rasmus stung the ball a couple of times to RF for no result, Preston Tucker did his best to remove Gray from the game by grounding a hard shot up the middle (to no hit- or injury-related avail) and Evan Gattis hit a couple of balls hard.  The A's fielders were where they needed to be.

Turning Point
Valbuena had homered in the top of the fifth, and brought the Astros to within one.  After a Billy Butler double-play, Brett Lawrie stood at third base with two outs.  Facing Phegley on a 1-0 count, Keuchel opted to try and throw a breaking ball for a strike on the outside half of the plate.  Phegley stayed with the pitch, and he hit a fly ball down the RF line.  The ball dropped just fair, missing the line by an inch or so, bounced into the stands in foul ground, and Lawrie scored the third run for the Athletics, increasing the Astros' deficit back to two runs.  Phegley was later thrown out at the plate, but one important run still scored in the inning.

Man of the Match
Luis Valbuena seems to have shortened his swing.  He still has a pronounced uppercut, but he seems to be hitting more line drives, and fewer deep fly balls.  As he also proved tonight, he still has serious pull power, and he climbed above the 20HR plateau for the first time in his career.

Goat of the Game
Hard to get on anyone too much in this game.  Altuve and Keuchel were both in the middle of some defensive miscues, but they were also difficult plays.  Hard to win with five hits and no walks, especially when the other guys have 10 hits and 2 walks (plus a reached-on-error), but Gray is a quality pitcher.  Only five strikeouts, too, so not like there are many 0-4, 3K lines (I call that one "the Marisnick").  Leave "Goat" nominations in the comments, please.

On the Morrow
The third game of a four game series pits Collin McHugh (13-5, 4.27) versus Jesse Chavez (5-11, 3.88).  This is an afternoon game (4 Eastern, 3 Central).  Be there or be rhomboid.
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According to MLB.com, the Astros may have traded for Oliver Pérez from the Diamondbacks.  MLBTR - at the time of writing - does not have a post up about it, but it is late Friday night or early Saturday morning in the US.

Pérez has a fascinating history that is probably a post in its own right.  He signed a 2 year contract before the 2014 season started, totalling 4.25M.  So he is likely to earn around 600k from now until the end of the year.

Anyhow, he seems to be having one of his better seasons.  He has pitched in relief, totalling 29 innings, allowing 25 hits and 11 walks for a WHIP of 1.241.  He has allowed 12 runs, 10 of which were earned, for a 3.10 ERA / 2.99 FIP.  He has struck out 37.  He has been used equally against lefties and righties this year (64 plate appearances each), but his line against lefties has been a solid .183/.234/.267

No word on what the Astros gave up.  My guess is that Pérez's acquisition is worth a lottery ticket of some form.  Especially because lefty relief has been a problem area for the Astros for a while.  Sam Deduno moved to the 60-day DL to make room for Perez on the 40-man, but a 25-man roster change will need to be made.  Perhaps Wojciechowski returns to Fresno.

Updated bit:  The Astros gave up 19 year old lefty starting pitcher Junior Garcia in the trade.  Garcia started the season at Greenville, and was promoted to Tri-City, where he has appeared in two games.  His 2015 combined ERA (ie. at both levels) is 0.96 in 37.1 innings.  He has allowed 29 hits, 11 runs (but only 4 earned runs) while striking out 26 and walking 7.  His 2015 WHIP is 0.964.
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Friday, August 7, 2015

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Scott Feldman (4-5, 4.58) versus Aaron Brooks (1-0, 3.09)

The Astros arrived from Dallas having proved that they were not above gross offensive ineptitude.  But not only where there difficulties on the offensive side of the plate, pretty much everything else went wrong as well.  They literally look like genuine world series contenders inside the snug confines of Minute Maid, but at any other ballpark in the country, they seem to have looked like a AA team over the last month.

O.Co has been a happy hunting ground in 2015 - not so much in other years that the Astros have been in the AL West.  The Astros swept the A's in the only series at O.Co this year - a three game sweep - so perhaps their road luck could be due to turn.  The A's have traded some talent away, so perhaps they are also in a weakened state.  That is what I was thinking, anyhow, in the lead up to this game.  I like me some magical thinking, and occasionally it works.

Opening a four-game series is a great time to have a clutch win, and the Astros managed that tonight. The got a clutch lead, gave up a clutch lead with some un-clutch defence and pitching, then went to extras where they strung a couple of hits together to score in the tenth.  The end result was a 5-4 win in 10 innings.  How did it happen??  Read on...

On the Mound
Scotty Feldman got the start tonight, and he turned in a typical Feldman start.  He left after six, mostly due to pitch count (113).  He allowed 5 hits and two walks, and that resulted in 2 earned runs.  He struck out three.  Both runs were allowed on fly balls.  They were on fly balls that went out of the park, however.

Feldman was solid in the first.  He set the side down on nine pitches, in order.  Much of that was due to a wonderful play from a shallow Jake Marisnick in left - he came in any dove on Billy Burns' soft liner, catching it in shallow left for the first out.  Perfectly positioned, and well played.  Feldman entered the second with a 1-0 lead (actually, he entered the first with a 1-0 lead) but with one out, Stephen Vogt crushed a pitch to straight-away CF for a no doubt home run, just to the left side of the batting eye and right over the 388 sign.  The pitch was a low fastball that leaked a little back over the plate, and Vogt went down and got it, driving it deep to CF.

In the third, Eric Sogard hit a one-out double to the LF-CF gap.  Marisnick was playing shallow, and he had to chase it all the way to the wall.  Sogard couldn't advance, however, because Handsome Jake executed his revenge by ranging into foul ground to catch a pop up, and running toward the line to catch a Coco Crisp soft liner into left to record the last two outs.  He was a busy lad that inning.  The fourth inning was Feldman's turn to make a nice play - he ended the frame and set the side down in order by corralling a bouncing ball up the middle, thanks to his height and quick reactions.

Feldman entered the fifth with a 1-1 tie, and it didn't last long.  On a 3-2 count, Feldman tried to sneak a low fastball past Brett Lawrie, and he hammered it to straightaway CF.  The ball hit off the suites above the batting eye - this shot was estimated at 447 feet, and the pitch was probably not even in the strike zone.  It was low, the second low pitch that was driven out tonight.  Oh boy.

Feldman quickly found himself in trouble after that.  Ike Davis walked, then Marcus Semien singled off Feldman's legs - the ricochet went all the way into foul ground on the third base side of the infield.    That put runners on first and second with no outs, and when Eric Sogard climbed into one, mashing it to CF, and the outfield was playing shallow, runs looked nearly certain to score.  Carlos Gómez, who has some serious outfield speed, ranged back and toward RF, and nearly overran the ball before making a stunning over-the-shoulder basket catch, heading away from home plate.  It was a fabulous play - Ike Davis tagged and went to third, but no runs scored.  If you watch the replay, I think the ball actually misses Gómez's glove, and he catches it more in his left wrist or elbow.  Dunno.  Anyhow, that saved the inning, as Billy Burns flew out to CF for the second out (Gómez's throw was wide, so if Davis had advanced, he would have scored) and Coco Crisp struck out on a full count after a seven-pitch at bat to end the frame.

More traffic in the sixth for Feldman - a walk to Country Breakfast with one out, and a two-out single to Brett Lawrie off the glove of Carlos Correa put runners on first and second, but Ike Davis went down swinging on a 2-2 fastball away to end the threat.

Chad Qualls had the assignment for the seventh, and he was more than up to the task.  He set down the side in order on eight pitches, partly thanks to a running catch from Carlos Correa down the LF foul line.  Tony Sipp got the assignment for the eighth, and he also retired the side in order on eight pitches, but he threw a strikeout into the mix for good measure.  Jed Lowrie also assisted with a diving stop to rob Country Breakfast.

Luke Gregerson came on for the ninth, and he was all over the place.  He opened up the frame by walking Stephen Vogt on four pitches.  Gregerson then got Lawrie to ground to Lowrie at third, but Lowrie tried to make the play backing up, and his throw to second base eluded Jose Altuve, and disappeared into RF.  The throw missed the same way that his momentum was going just before he set his feet.  That put runners on the corners with no outs, and Ike Davis followed with a single just over Altuve's head to put runners on the corners with still no outs, but also score a run.

Gregerson knuckled down, and he looked like he might sneak out of it.  He struck out Marcus Semien for the first out, then walked Eric Sogard to load the bases, but set up a force at home.  On the first pitch to Billy Burns, he hit a slow bouncer up the middle - too slow to head home with the throw.  Altuve was drawn in, and he flipped to Correa as fast as he could.  Correa has a cannon for an arm, and he got it to González, who made a good stretch, but Burns was safe, narrowly avoiding the double-play.  The tying run scored, however, and Gregerson nearly gave it all up by allowing a hard-hit fly ball to Coco Crisp to RF that Rasmus tracked down on the warning track, just shy of the 362 sign.

The Astros headed to the tenth with their second opportunity for a save.  Will Harris got the assignment, and he made no mistakes.  Josh Reddick singled against the shift leading off, but he was erased on the next pitch when Country Breakfast grounded a tailor-made DP ball back to the mound.  Both runners were out by 15 feet.  Stephen Vogt grounded to second for the final out of the game - an Altuve sprawling save ended the affair.


At the Plate
The Astros opened up well against Aaron Brooks... at least after Jose Altuve went down on three pitches for an opening strikeout.  Carlos Gómez, who entered the game hitting .296/.321/.481 as an Astro, played some old fashioned NL small-ball in bunting for a base hit to the third base side of the mound.  Brett Lawrie came in and fielded it cleanly, but he was unable to make the play.  Gómez then went to third on Carlos Correa's soft line drive into LF - a solid piece of baserunning - then Jed Lowrie hit a fly ball to medium left to score Gómez on a sac fly, who deserves a big part of the credit for that run.  The dude can motor.

In the second, the Astros' Arlington woes caught up on them.  With one out, Luis Valbeuna - who the radio guys were giving credit for re-tooling his swing and shortening it up - singled over the shift into RF, and then advanced to third on an error and fielder's choice from Eric Sogard, whose backhanded flip was a little ambitious.  With runners on the corners and one out, Handsome Jake headed to the plate, and he struck out looking on a 2-2 pitch - a fastball at the knees.  Jose Altuve followed with a groundout on a pitch in the left-handers batting box, and the Astros again blew a chance to score a runner from third with less than two outs, swinging or not swinging at precisely the wrong pitches.

The Astros went in order in the third, including a Jed Lowrie fly out to the warning track in left.  They went in order all striking out swinging in the fourth.  Yikes.  Rasmus went on a 2-2 high change, Gattis went on an elevated slider away on a full count, and Valbeuna went on a change inside on a 1-2 count, but on the sixth pitch of the at-bat.  A Jose Altuve two-out single into LF broke the tedium in the fifth, but Gómez grounded out on a check swing at the next pitch to end the frame.  And in the sixth Carlos Correa walked on four pitches, and was picked off and caught in a run down while the next two hitters went in order.  Inning over.  In the seventh, the Astros went in order, ending the night for Oakland's Aaron Brooks.  Brooks left with a 2-1 lead.

Ex-stro Fernando Rodriguez started the eighth for the A's.  With one out, Jose Altuve singled up the middle, then stole second during Carlos Gómez's at-bat (which ended in a strikeout).  Altuve may have been caught stealing but for the high throw to second.  So with two outs and Altuve on second, things looked a little dire for the Astros.  Carlos Correa stepped to the plate, and he worked the count to 2-0 before he got a fastball up in the zone that leaked arm side into the inner third.

Correa put a great swing on it, and he hammered it to the LF-CF power alley.  The ball got out easily, into the bleachers above the wall, and the Astros took a 3-2 lead.  F-Rod's reaction to the pitch was awesome - he knew it was gone, and he stuck his glove in the air like he was signalling a pop-up.

The Astros weren't done in the inning, either, which is just as well.  Another ex-stro Fernando Abad relieved, and he promptly walked Jed Lowrie.  Lowrie was on first when Colby Rasmus singled off the end of the bat into the LF-CF gap - the ball dropped pretty shallow.  When CF Billy Burns failed to glove it properly, he deflected the ball between the legs of Coco Crisp, who had lost it in the lights when it was still in the air.  Crisp needed to retreat to get it, and Lowrie, who was going first-to-third, never stopped, and he scored a vital fourth run for the Astros.

The Astros' scoring was done for the eighth, and they went in order in the ninth.  They also got to bat in the tenth, thanks to Gregerson's blown save.  Edward Mujica opened the frame by allowing a single to LF to Jose Altuve - a wee line-drive over the head of the third baseman.  Altuve then stole second on a pitchout - Vogt's throw was again high - and Carlos Gómez sac-bunted him to third with one out.  That brought Carlos Correa to the plate, and he worked the count to 3-0... before popping up on the infield for the second out.  Which was poetic, really, because the next batter was Jed Lowrie, and he took a 3-2 fastball out of the zone away, and he flicked it into LF, over the head of the third baseman again, for an RBI double.  Altuve scored, Lowrie headed into second, and the Astros took a 5-4 lead.

Jose Altuve led the assault tonight, with a 3-5 night with two stolen bases.  Carlos Correa was better, going 2-4 with a walk and a home run, but he was picked off.  Jed Lowrie went 1-3 with a double, a walk and a sac fly.  Carlos Gómez, Colby Rasmus and Luis Valbeuna all had one hit.

Turning Point
Carlos Correa's home run in the eighth was clutch, and gave the Astros the lead.  The turning point happened shortly after - Rasmus dumped a soft line drive into the LF-CF gap.  Jed Lowrie had plans going from first to third, but when the ball escaped between the legs of Coco Crisp, Lowrie advanced home, and scored a vital insurance run.  Insurance that the Astros needed to take out.

Man of the Match
Carlos Correa, for a fabulous night.  Jed Lowrie's error sunk his MoTM bid.

Goat of the Game
Luke Gregerson has done well, but has had patches when he hasn't pitched well.  He had very limited command tonight, and he was not assisted by his D at all.  And when it all shook out, he nearly escaped the jam.  But he can't escape the Goat.  Sorry, Luke.

Up Next
Battle of the Aces.

Dallas Keuchel (13-5, 2.35) versus Sonny Gray (11-4, 2.12)

Stellar pitching matchup.

10 Eastern, 9 Central.

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Thursday, August 6, 2015

Strona

Good Lord that series with the Rangers was a disaster. While the Rangers picked up three games on the Astros, the Angels only picked up one because they're having their own struggles, which is important to remember. There are 53 games left, and the Astros had a bad three days. A good four days at last-place Oakland can ease the memory of the second sweep of the Astros at the hands of the Rangers this season.

But seriously, though, the Astros were bad this series. Let's take a brief look at just how bad, because Astros County is the worldwide leader in misery.

Starters

This is going to look just terrible because of Lance McCullers' 0.1IP outing, but as a unit, the three starters of the series went for a combined 10.2IP, 19H/15R (11ER), 9K:6BB

Bullpen

The bullpen was taxed in the mid-to-upper 90s heat, because Tom Hicks would rather pay A-Rod than pay for a roof. But - even including Mike Fiers' weird relief appearance/Astros debut - the bullpen threw 13.1IP, 13H/6ER, 12K:4BB.

"Offense"

The Astros hypothetical offense...

*Left 22 on base

*Went 8x38 with runners in scoring position

*Had runner(s) in scoring position with less than two outs for 22 plate appearances with eight of those runners ultimately scoring.

Random Note

Following a 1x2, HR, BB game against Seattle on May 1, Jake Marisnick's OPS sat at 1.100 with a .383/.433/.667 slash line. Since then, Marisnick is "hitting" .178/.206/.259 with 65K in 197 PAs and an astonishingly low 23 wRC+ (100 wRC+ is average). Please come back, Springer.
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AL West Recap: Baseball is dumb and we're dumb because we like a dumb thing. The Rangers sweep the Astros with another 4-3 win with another game in which the Astros left quite literally a ton (2000 pounds) of Astros on base. Be sure you read the Masked Marvel's excellently heartbreaking recap Pl sql developer the odds of the Astros winning the AL West at 65.1%, with an 88.2% chance of making the postseason. 

Game Links



I think the whole game starts in the first inning. We just didn't get into the game.

Other Links







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On the Mound

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At the Plate







Turning Point

Man of the Match
No MoTM tonight.  I am too annoyed.

Goat of the Game

Up Next
Oakland!  After a night game!  Yay!  

(Although no one in their right mind would want to play in Arlington during the day at the moment)

Scott Feldman (4-5, 4.58) versus Aaron Brooks (1-0, 3.09)

10 Eastern, 9 Central.

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Tuesday, August 4, 2015

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AL West Recap: Lance McCullers got BABIP'd to death and Mike Fiers got rocked but still managed to make a comeback on the strength of Correa's 2-run shot, Valbuena's solo shot, and a Jason Castro grand slam - only to fall 12-9 to the South Oklahoma Rangers. So the Astros and A's lost while the Angels, Rangers, and Mariners won. The Astros are 3.0 up with 55 games to play, but have lost 11 of their last 13 road games.

Astros/Rangers links

*After not giving up more than three earned runs in any of his ML starts this season, Lance McCullers gave up 6ER in 0.1IP Monday night, and was optioned to the minors following the game:
I just wish I had been able to compete a little better for the guys and not make so many guys eat so many innings and that kind of stuff. It's going to happen. Hopefully, it doesn't happen again. Hopefully, I got it off my back. I'm just looking forward to my next start.

*Dan Straily will start tonight for the Astros - a game at which The Wife and I will be in attendance.

*Lance McCullers understands his being optioned - what with him already having thrown a career high in IP. A.J. Hinch said the move was designed to give McCullers a break.

*Cole Hamels spoke about why he rejected the proposed Astros trade - which had apparently been worked out "a couple of days" before he actually was traded to the Rangers:
It just kind of came to that sort of fruition where (the Astros) just weren't on the (approved) list. They asked me, and I said, 'No I'd like to stick with the list...' I've seen what (the Astros) have done and I think they've done great things. I have a four-year contract still...so if it was a different situation where I had a year left or a year and a half I probably would have gone. But because it is more of a longer term I had to weigh those sorts of variables for those nine teams that I had on the list. I didn't want to budge from that.

Having never been in his situation - he and I have probably never shared any kind of experience...ever - I won't say that this rationale is absolute nonsense.

*The Dallas Morning News' Rick Gosselin says the Rangers and Astros' "rivalry" has everything except meaningful games.

*Hacksaw Jeff Banister swore at A.J. Hinch and told him not to grab his players in that little to-do in which Rougned Odor took his sweet time getting back in the box. But they're both all good.

Rando Links

*Carlos Gomez on Club Astros: "I love here. Those guys make me feel sexy"

*George Springer, despite being on the DL, is the center of the Astros' clubhouse.

*Scott Kazmir is your AL Pitcher of the Month for July.

*The Astros are 2nd in SI's Power Rankings

*Jon Singleton took his 72 hours to report to Fresno: "It's definitely frustrating and disappointing, but you still have to go on to continue to be successful. It is a business. You sometimes have to remind yourself of that. You still have to go out and put the work in."

Not-Astros Link of the Day

*From Priceonomics: "The Greatest Double Agent In History"
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Established in 2008, Astros County is your friendly neighborhood blog & grill. We are the Protectors of the Legacy of Dickie Thon, Defenders of the Honor of J.R. Richard, and Anti-American League. Orlando Palmeiro Was Safe.

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2015 Playoff Odds

(Via FanGraphs)

61-52 as of the morning of Aug 10, 0.5 games up

54.3% to win AL West
80.4% to make postseason
8.3% to win World Series

Division% High: 73.4% (Aug 3)
Division% Low: 3.5% (Apr 9)

Postseason% High: 93.2% (July 31)
Postseason% Low: 10.6% (Apr 9)

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